Originally Posted by McCandlessboy
Originally Posted by GoodysGotaCuda
Originally Posted by Doc Fiberglass
Doc Fauci come on the news minutes ago ... there might be 100 to 200 THOUSAND deaths in the USA in the end !



Easy, I don't see that being a problem. The majority of are cases are either unaccounted for or just getting started. 2 weeks from now, hospitals across the Nation will look like war-zones. frown

Italy's mortality rate is over 10% at this point, seasonal flu is 0.1%.


Over 90% of Italy's deaths, according to their own government, had MULTIPLE co-morbidities. If I get shot in the stomach and stung by a bee, saying I got killed by the bee isn't correct. It's not to downplay, but there is nothing to suggest the death rate is anywhere near 10%.


I would expect that Italian adults are not just grossly less healthy than Americans. If you believe that's the case, it seems like optimism bias.

There are plenty of American adults with high blood pressure [33%] , diabetes [13%], cancer [5%], tobacco use, asthma [8%], COPD [7%], obesity [8%]. Just because the Italian's that have passed due to this had pre-existing conditions does not make the argument of it happening in America moot. If having a pre-existing condition increases the probability of death due to COVID and, say, 50% of American adults have a pre-exisitng condition, it doesn't take long to get to a 10% mortality rate...

https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Forms-Reports-and-Other-Resources/preexisting

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