The CDC, WHO, and every infectious disease expert on the planet seem to disagree with all of the people who have recently earned Facebook medical degrees, so I'll go with the views of the former.
Here's the story of how the virus spread in South Korea. 1 person. That's it. That's all it took.
1 person is all it ever takes, flu, chicken pox, common cold etc.
These "experts" never seem to compare stats to other outbreaks like H1N1 Swine Flu. How many cases how fast, vs how many fatalities over the same time frame.
The Spanish Flu which was an H1N1 virus, spread across the globe like wildfire and killed millions and I think all you had to do to be in the risk of dying group was to be still breathing. Everybody was at risk because apparently when that virus sprang to life there was very little natural Human immunity to it. I read somewhere that that's the same reason this Corona Virus is claimed to be so dangerous, very little natural Human immunity and yet the serious risk group is actually quite limited given its pandemic status.
If we were this deep into "just the flu" season, everybody on this board would know somebody with the flu if they didn't already have it themselves. I'm just not seeing that kind of contagious spread.
While I don't deny there is serious risk to some by ignoring the whole thing, this mass hysteria reaction just defies logic and people that stand to make a lot of money off the fear of the virus or stand to loose a lot of money from it seem to be pouring gas on the fire either from their actions or lack thereof.
Kevin
Wow, so you are saying should we have another outbreak like the first H1N1, Spanish flu it's OK because the serious risk group is small? You know, the elderly and the medically compromised? Don't worry kids, it's just the old people, go out and have a good time!
Have you read anything on what is going on Italy? Their health care system is overrun, Because of the lack of available hospital beds and equipment like respirators they are having to make decisions on who gets treatments. The more likely to succumb to the virus you are the less likely you will be treated. You are also saying China and South Korea over reacted? Even when they have the capability to address large scale needs? The whole reason for the actions is so we don't have a repeat of the original H1N1 outbreak. This is not "just the flu" for many people. Besides there are flu shots every year which although not totally effective, they do keep the number of cases down. There are also therapeutic treatments for the flu. If I got the flu I would be concerned about getting pneumonia and would seek treatment immediately. If I get Covid-19 there probably wouldn't be a treatment in the world that would save me from getting pneumonia, and getting pneumonia again would, in all probability kill me.
But I guess in your mind it's OK since I'm 63.
Not what I'm saying at all and if I was you I would be VERY concerned.
All I was trying to say was that if this virus doesn't have any natural Human immunity to deal with as I've heard claimed, it should be blazing through the population much like the first H1N1 did, not by the dozens here and there. I know that's an over simplification but if I'm in your shoes I'm not putting a lot of faith in any "measures", I'm doing what you have done, headed for the hills and avoid all contact with the outside world as is possible. Unavoidable contact would be made on my conditions from a safe distance.
Oh and I'm 62 for a few months yet and I've done the heart attack and triple bypass too. I'm not aware of anything related to those 2 events that put me at much more risk than average, certainly not to the extent that you are dealing with.
I guess I'm just old and paranoid enough to think that maybe that old saw about if a politician doesn't have a crisis to take advantage of, they should invent one is more than a little at play here.
It's certainly working out for the toilet paper and hand sanitizer business.
