Originally Posted by srt
You make a good point of saying let it run it's course. Keep in mind the caveat of hospital capacity to handle the peak and also with higher numbers of infected the more variants will present.. I've found no data of age profile of hospitalizations and we know there are at least two strains with different manifestations.
Even running it's course there will be more than one returns of this virus.
It is right to attempt to limit the amount of infected at any given time and it's good to quickly develop a vaccine.


There is data on age profile and death, I know that isn't hospitalizations. My point is that the healthy population isn't having to go to the hospital. Health population defined as under 50 with no preexisting conditions that have been identified. You need them getting the virus and getting over it before the populations "returns". All we've done by isolating everyone is ensure a 2nd curve will happen. The only thing that might offset that are all the various distance/cleaning measures combined with warm temperatures.

The sad part is people that totally ignore the unintended consequences from quarantine. Domestic violence is up 20% in multiple large cities across the country. Those with mental health/anxiety issues are really struggling as well. It's harder to understand those impacts vs get a virus and die. Although the odds of that happens are so limited. I'd love to see the data pulled apart. I'd want to see how many people outside of hospitals for other things, long term car facilities and rest homes are actually dying. I have a feeling parsed out, it would be a fraction of a percent.