Analyzing from year to year is interesting. To get a picture of what coronavirus effect on the rate an adjustment would need to be made on prior years data.
Deaths from expected illness/disease may remain constant while illness from predominately non-illness/disease (workplace, traffic, weekend warrior, etc.) would likely need adjustment downward as those activities are in a reduced state. In fairness suicide, drinking and drug use may be increasing. I'm surprised it's not been suggested those types of deaths are being included in the cv tally.
The data building is rife for both suspicion and abuse. I mentioned early in this thread only well after the pandemic is fading from daily news will we know the real number of lives lost.
Personally I do not completely understand the infatuation and fear of manipulation of numbers. This virus is deadly and people will be the consumable until we find the vaccine. Forget herd immunity for now, we are not 1% of the way there, and we are close to 100k deaths. To develop a vaccine at best 12 to 18 months of data will amass. The run-up and stabilization of ill and fatalities (march to now) generated 100k in 3 months. Data says in 12 to 18 months anywhere from 250k to 700k (using the current rate projections).
Of course asymptomatic carriers and possibility of mutations could reduce or expand the range. I'll leave it to the experts fo fine tune their already wildly swinging projections. Many projections suggest by early August 150k (models from early April estimated 88k to 150k. With the "setting the herd loose" social/scientific experiment underway will there be new projections?