...Where do you see the end game then? At what point do we pull back on the restrictions? ...
I see a changed country, if not world at least for the short term. During a measured return? Needs to be structured right and it likely will not involve the many "large group" activities owners and promoters love. i.e. large concerts, sports auditoriums and stadiums, theaters, resorts, cruise ships, casinos, black fridays, and other concentrating activities as packed restaurants, fairs, parades, air travel , and unfortunately auto sports. Without re-thinking the entire approach that includes shirking health and safety rules. I see many of those and other activities as a luxury that I have participated and may again sometime in the future. For now the risk is too high. Anyone desiring to plod forth at this time should do so fully knowing there may be consequences of doing so.. Hopefully those that do will respect others "space" same way that people drive down the road, give some space. Tailgaters are risking others lives.
I agree with you 100%. Businesses and activities that can be conducted while observing social distancing rules should be allowed to open in a measured way. Things where people are packed like sardines unfortunately are going to have to wait.
There is only two options back to complete normalcy: herd immunity and/or a vaccine. Waiting out this pandemic under hard quarantine until a vaccine is available will not work. The earliest a vaccine is projected to be ready by is September. We won't make it until the end of May under these conditions.
Lets just for the sake of argument assume we sequester everyone in the nation indoors for three weeks. That would be enough time to burn the virus out. Now you have an entire population that hasn't been building any kind of natural antibodies and all it takes is a single vector out of hundreds of millions of people for it to come roaring back.
We should know relatively soon if a measured reopening really works. A few states are started and others never really implemented hard quarantine measures. Florida comes to mind.
