Raining again today, = more numbers
Re: Herd Immunity
Need ~70% infection rate of Covid 19 to achieve.from This Article <-Click
Now we are about 1.358m ill (0.413% of us population 328.2m) infected and about 81,650 deaths (6.01% of ill)
To get to herd immunity of ~70% of 328.2m results in 229.7m ill people applying 6.01% gives 13,804,970 deaths to reach herd immunity.
These are extrapolated numbers assuming that existing trends will continue and accepting 70% to reach herd immunity. I've applied no correction to the numbers presented to us. They are just numbers using the data given.
I don't think it's important to figure to anything but a close number and will not attempt to put a price on human lives. Bottom line without a viable treatment (nothing thus far) or a vaccine (a long way off) we need to be patient and not climb the 70% too fast. This is precisely what flattening the curve is all about. This is exactly why undistancing will increase deaths as we inch toward herd immunity. That state is a long way off, we are @ 6% now and have to get to 70%. Add to that any outsiders coming into the country, virus mutations, new symptoms, and application of commonly accepted co-morbidities.