Originally Posted by srt
http://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

These recently published charts are interesting. Look how accurate it is today. Human nature creates a ever growing range of projections. Scroll down the page for additional charts.
Where will we be in two weeks?



Was going to post this new webpage myself. Scroll through the list and compare some of the less populated states to New York, it's eye opening. New York is expected to reach its infection peak next week. The rest of the country is a week or two behind.

The recent projections of 1-200K deaths nationwide are based on the idea that everyone in every state cooperates and stays home. If we as a nation don't follow the recommendations, that number could be in the millions before this is all over. Think about that. And think about how taxed the healthcare system will be for so long, it's not sustainable.

Even if you look at it from a cynical viewpoint, it's still really puzzling and sad how fast our country has slid into this situation with no reasonably predictable end in sight. The fact that as of today some states have still not shut things down is astonishing. It's like the people making these decisions are living in an alternate universe. No amount of wishing will make this go away.

China is going back to work and restarting their economy. Ours could be dead in the water for months.

Our military has also been directly affected by this virus. There is a story in the news about the Navy needing to get infected sailors off a deployed air craft carrier, The Roosevelt. Ponder that for a minute while you try to wrap your head around these other scenarios.

I'll say it again that China is getting back on its feet way before us...



Last edited by tboomer; 04/01/20 05:43 PM.