Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778372
05/26/20 01:49 PM
05/26/20 01:49 PM
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162 USA
360view
Moparts resident spammer
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Moparts resident spammer
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162
USA
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778374
05/26/20 01:55 PM
05/26/20 01:55 PM
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162 USA
360view
Moparts resident spammer
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Moparts resident spammer
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162
USA
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: DaveRS23]
#2778380
05/26/20 02:17 PM
05/26/20 02:17 PM
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Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 3,951 Oregon
hooziewhatsit
master
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master
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 3,951
Oregon
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The average healthy middle aged person has a minuscule chance of dying from this virus. By minuscule, I mean .0something. And you want that person to risk loosing all that he has worked for, possibly for years, to protect someone else. Someone whose lifestyle may have contributed to their personal vulnerability. Someone, whom if they do what they are told, and quarantine themselves, should not be dependent on someone else's actions.
People should take responsibility for their own health and safety. Especially the most vulnerable of us. My own father is 91 and in a nursing home. I have seen him once in two months. At a distance. That is difficult, but very necessary. He and his facility must be protected from this infection for obvious reasons. But that means quarantining them, not the rest of us.
For someone half his age and in good health, being locked away does little to nothing for them. And more and more indications are that lock downs do little for the rates of infections across large areas. Targeted quarantines appear to be much more effective.
So destroying a person's financial health may do nothing for the health of the world at large. We have a better idea of that now that we have more data. Initially the information we had was that it was highly infectious, and had a ~3% death rate. Those aren't numbers that we look at and say "hopefully it won't be that bad here". We do something about it, then re-evaluate when we have better numbers. Otherwise we have an even bigger pile of dead people that could have been prevented. We do need to open up, but we also need people to stop being morons and wear masks in public. Or at least stop equating wearing masks with tyranny (no shoes, no shirt, no service, no problem. No mask, no service but MUH RIGHTS ) And just because younger people are surviving, doesn't mean they're thriving after a serious case, or that there won't be lifelong health effects from it. An anecdote from a different forum; this guys grandpa got the flu in 1918. It damaged his lungs such that for the rest of his life he couldn't do any strenuous work or exercise. That sucks.
Last edited by hooziewhatsit; 05/26/20 03:13 PM.
If you ever find yourself in a fair fight, your tactics suck.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778387
05/26/20 02:30 PM
05/26/20 02:30 PM
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Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 16,506 Jefferson State
srt
ESYC
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ESYC
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 16,506
Jefferson State
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360V thank you for explaining the adjustment. At this time I feel we are being played to create uncertainty rife to do precisely what we do here, well seeded by the A-Z press and all their variants bombarding us as we're fertilized with bs. Guess what we did in the garden today? Some givens, according to "official" data, US has more cases and deaths than anywhere else on the planet. We are now releasing the hordes. Humans and especially us, have been trained to line up and make the mad dash to be the first, the most, fastest, best,... I'm not surprised the social pump was primed and and the nozzle opened full stream. We're supposed to be tempered by the now invisible Doctors as the best possible team has been dismembered with the pieces tossed to the media wolves. Someone has to stand up and be the voice or reason that we can understand. A steady course can get us through this. A smoke filled room full of mirrors and dead ends is not sustainable.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: AndyF]
#2778391
05/26/20 02:37 PM
05/26/20 02:37 PM
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Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 6,444 o
ChryCoGuy
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master
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 6,444
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All this stuff about death rates this year vs last year - help me understand.
Are you trying to make a point that COVID-19 is not real (like some kind of conspiracy theory)?
If that's the case, then is it normal for some areas to set up temporary morgues or use refrigerated semi trailers to store all the dead bodies, like some of the reports I have read? Is it normal to have to send a US military hospital ship to certain places to help with hospital overload? If not normal, then why are we asking about death rates? It doesn't make sense.
I dunno, I tend to be somewhat logical in my thinking, and some of the stuff I read from time to time seems 'way out there', as if to prove some kind of point that isn't even clear. It makes sense if you're trying to understand what is happening. Here in Oregon where I live the average death rate is around 100 per day. This year with the virus the death rate has increased to roughly 101 or 102 per day. That is useful information if you own a business in Oregon. It's interesting, but seems complicated to compare a time when everything is shut down vs usual times when everybody is active. It seems like in 'normal' times, if suddenly everybody stayed indoors and kept to themselves, then deaths would go down. Heck, there would even be less flu, common colds, etc. going around. Plus, with nobody driving there would be no deaths from car accidents. Less industrial accidents with less people working. Perhaps 'natural' deaths would be the same, but everything else would theoretically stop. What I am trying to understand is why people seem to be doubting that there is something unusual about this virus, like it's all some sort of state-driven conspiracy theory designed to control their lives. IMHO, no politician of any stripes wants to shut down their economy as it creates great difficulties for everybody, from those who follow it, to those who have to manage it. And, even if it were some kind of crazy nutjob conspiracy that came true, it must be a conspiracy that the whole entire world is in on. Cripes, we can't get governments to agree on almost anything, so why would the entire world go lock-step on something like this if there weren't some necessity to it? I dunno... logically it doesn't stand up.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: DaveRS23]
#2778396
05/26/20 03:00 PM
05/26/20 03:00 PM
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Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 6,444 o
ChryCoGuy
master
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master
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 6,444
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All this stuff about death rates this year vs last year - help me understand.
Are you trying to make a point that COVID-19 is not real (like some kind of conspiracy theory)?
If that's the case, then is it normal for some areas to set up temporary morgues or use refrigerated semi trailers to store all the dead bodies, like some of the reports I have read? Is it normal to have to send a US military hospital ship to certain places to help with hospital overload? If not normal, then why are we asking about death rates? It doesn't make sense.
I dunno, I tend to be somewhat logical in my thinking, and some of the stuff I read from time to time seems 'way out there', as if to prove some kind of point that isn't even clear. The examples you quote are actually good examples of over reaction by our leaders. Not so much as to the ferocity of the virus. The portable morgues are only in very few places. Places that have had devastating nursing home infections. Most of which are the result of politician's decisions. https://abc7ny.com/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo-criticized-in-new-york/6168676/And funny you should mention the USN Comfort to make the point that you were trying to make. That was an overreaction to totally inaccurate predictions. You did know that the ship left New York early after having treated only 189 people, don't you? https://www.navytimes.com/news/your...-having-treated-fewer-than-200-patients/They also converted McCormick Place is Chicago to handle the expected numbers of Coronavirus patients. But, once again, it went mainly unused and was shut down. https://news.wttw.com/2020/05/01/fi...-after-treating-few-patients-curve-bendsAnd then there is this, the very best example of all of the hype and exaggeration by our leaders: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Clt...BGnLuyMVrDstlGMX7vfvgV26PQBJ4SJzH4ufgsW0People are dying. And some of those deaths probably could have been prevented. But to shut down much of the nation over this is not the answer. Especially the way it was done. More and more people are seeing this for what it really was. And that erodes even further what little confidence that folks have in their leaders. I'm curious as to what kind of point you think I was trying to make. I only want to understand why normal intelligent people want to doubt that this virus exists. Whether politicians of all stripes overestimated or underestimated its effects is yet to be seen, I think. To place judgement on it right now, as things are just opening up again is premature IMHO. Wait a year, and let's look back then and see how it went. But the fact remains that something had to be done... As I mentioned in another post, this has affected the entire world, who have had various levels of success in dealing with it. Some have done really well, some have done horribly. History will tell us who did the best and who did the worst. But for people to suggest that it doesn't exist, or that it's just like some normal flu bug sounds like people who want to deny the truth IMHO. Then the whole other aspect that comes out, when I see some people blame everything on one political party... their motives start to become more clear. IMHO, both parties have done good things, both have done bad. All levels of government have done both well and poorly. But one thing I have noticed is that all levels of government, both parties included, have become very dysfunctional, mostly due to choosing to fight one another rather than working together. Both sides and all levels have not cohesively worked together to accomplish a common goal, which should have been to understand the virus, decide the best method to deal with it, check how they are doing, and then adjust their methods/strategies as they learned more (classic PDCA for anyone involved in project management). Instead, they all just fight one another, try to destroy the others' reputations, create a bunch of lies and confusion to hide the facts, etc. It's shameful, really, and all parties at all levels should really look inward and try to discover how to fix this. But they won't... they'll just blame the other side, and their supporters will carry on the same level of dysfunctional infighting right down to the lowest levels, like freakin internet forums, like we're all reading right here. Keep it up and the country is going to fall apart, while the other powerful nations in the world are standing back and watching, ready to take advantage. This is why I hate politics, and why I wish the mods would clean the politics out of this thread... even this very post if they wish. It disgusts me.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778398
05/26/20 03:03 PM
05/26/20 03:03 PM
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Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 23,516 Here
jcc
If you can't dazzle em with diamonds..
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If you can't dazzle em with diamonds..
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 23,516
Here
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So Covid mostly hates WW2 vets and the "Greatest Generation", so who cares is the thinking? What a country!
"When one’s appeal is emotional, it does not matter if there is no substance."
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: Diego (not Ted)]
#2778452
05/26/20 05:23 PM
05/26/20 05:23 PM
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Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,235 Phoenix, AZ
Jjs72D
Deep in the closet
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Deep in the closet
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,235
Phoenix, AZ
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We still have counties with zero reported infections. Because of the quarantine? I suspect that you are smart enough to know the answer yet prefer to be a stubborn person. No, because the virus was an exaggerated scam.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: Jjs72D]
#2778454
05/26/20 05:28 PM
05/26/20 05:28 PM
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Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 23,516 Here
jcc
If you can't dazzle em with diamonds..
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If you can't dazzle em with diamonds..
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 23,516
Here
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We still have counties with zero reported infections. Because of the quarantine? I suspect that you are smart enough to know the answer yet prefer to be a stubborn person. No, because the virus was an exaggerated scam. Do you believe in Karma? There is no right or wring answer here, just curious.
"When one’s appeal is emotional, it does not matter if there is no substance."
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: Diego (not Ted)]
#2778457
05/26/20 05:37 PM
05/26/20 05:37 PM
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Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 13,031 Benton, IL.
DaveRS23
Master of nothing...
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Master of nothing...
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 13,031
Benton, IL.
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We still have counties with zero reported infections. Because of the quarantine? Probably not. Our county has 2 towns that straddle Interstate 57. We have the area's only Wal-Mart Supercenter, a large farm supply, and the area's federal building. About the only businesses that are shut down are the mom and pop ones. All of the national chain type businesses are, and have been open. Our county has had 11 diagnosed infections to date with most having already recovered at home. And there have been no deaths in our county related to Coronavirus. In fact, of the 15 southernmost counties here in southern Illinois, I believe 12 have no confirmed deaths. But $hitcago (which is 300 miles away) has us shut down. They have a real problem there. But cannot get a handle on it despite fairly drastic measures. There is a difference between the rural and the urban areas. And between hard hit and largely unscathed areas. Shouldn't the response reflect that reality? A one-size-fits-all approach does little more than breed contempt.
Master, again and still
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778492
05/26/20 07:16 PM
05/26/20 07:16 PM
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162 USA
360view
Moparts resident spammer
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Moparts resident spammer
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162
USA
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https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-05-nursing-homes-ground-covid-.htmlSample quote In fact, experts like Taylor think testing at nursing homes needs to be for everybody, not just people with symptoms, to get ahead of the curve. Staffing issues "That includes the workers," Taylor said. "Workers in nursing homes are at risk of occupational exposure. They also are a risk of bringing infection into the nursing home from the community and taking it out." Funding for additional staff at nursing homes also would help bolster infection control, experts said. It takes a lot of time to put on a mask, gown up and properly wash hands when going from patient to patient, said Eleanor Schildwachter McConnell, an associate professor in the Duke University School of Nursing. "It stands to reason that if you're starting out with a very thin level of staffing, it's going to be hard to take those precautions and continue to provide very demanding care," McConnell said, noting that more hands on deck will take the pressure off. Unfortunately, once people start testing positive at a nursing home, staff have tended to start walking off the job, Robinson-Lane said. "Nursing homes are already challenged with staffing concerns, and we've seen a chance of 15% reduction in staff after COVID patients come in," Robinson-Lane said. End quote Even before COVID-19 the average third shift at a USA nursing home had 40% average absenteeism. Nursing Home Management typically reported 20% in prior years on the “honor system” but a recent Federal law change allowed HHS to have access to IRS FICA tax records, that proved the actual missed 3rd shift hours were at 40%.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: 360view]
#2778498
05/26/20 07:26 PM
05/26/20 07:26 PM
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162 USA
360view
Moparts resident spammer
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Moparts resident spammer
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,162
USA
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ibrutinib, an already available blood cancer drug is getting a clinical trial to see if it can treat COVID-19 https://www.dana-farber.org/newsroo...-blood-cancer-drug-in-covid-19-patients/Sample quote Ibrutinib is an oral drug used to treat several B-cell malignancies and chronic graft-versus-host disease. Treon and colleagues recently published in Blood a report on six Waldenström’s patients who had been taking ibrutinib for several years and who had recently contracted COVID-19. All the patients experienced cough and fever. Five of the patients, who were taking a standard dose of ibrutinib, had no shortness of breath, did not need to be hospitalized, and steadily improved. The sixth patient, who had been taking a lower dose of ibrutinib because of side effects, experienced worsening symptoms of shortness of breath and initially was taken off ibrutinib and treated with other drugs. After 10 days he was placed on a ventilator, and doctors decided to re-start ibrutinib at the standard dose the other patients had been taking. He rapidly improved, was removed from the ventilator, and on day 14 was discharged from the hospital to his home, where he continues to do well on the standard dose of ibrutinib. “These experiences have given us the inspiration to do prospective randomized trials of ibrutinib and a similar drug, zanubrutinib in COVID-19 patients in respiratory distress,” said Treon. End quote
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: Diego (not Ted)]
#2778558
05/26/20 10:33 PM
05/26/20 10:33 PM
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Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,235 Phoenix, AZ
Jjs72D
Deep in the closet
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Deep in the closet
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,235
Phoenix, AZ
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The reaction to the virus is the scam, not the virus itself. Again, I don't think that you are stupid, just stubborn and wrong. If a mystery virus was even rumored to have a 50 % fatality rate and only affected white guys between 40 and 60, I'd have been worried. This was never anything close to that. People in charge of dispensing information have been wrong far more than they have been right. To me, that casts a serious shadow of doubt over everything. One as intelligent as you think that you are should have more brains than to blindly trust these scare tactics. It has been shown that my side is resistant to trusting the government and your side is far more willing to do so. It is abundantly clear why you hold the position that you do and it isn't based in common sense. I'll bet you have a government job where your income is unaffected by all of this. You surely are not a business owner,
Last edited by Jjs72D; 05/26/20 10:33 PM.
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Re: The official Coronavirus thread
[Re: Jjs72D]
#2778572
05/26/20 11:47 PM
05/26/20 11:47 PM
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Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 16,506 Jefferson State
srt
ESYC
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ESYC
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 16,506
Jefferson State
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I cringe every time posts take that accusatory judgemental twist. I believe the same concepts might be better delivered with tact. Our country is poised a difficult task. Not to appear posting ad nauseam - without a good plan everybody develops their own that often serves their best interests. Living where we do it's our elected officials duty to, and it's their oath to US to defend the constitution. The preamble of which lays out it's fundamental purposes and guiding principles. Business concern are laid out not in the constitution, but delved off to Congress. Granted there is several amendments, and supreme court rulings that pertain to business, yet no specific requirement for our officials to make decisions over people (general welfare) that favors business. I would not say that we are anywhere close to having major issues with this, but it's likely why so much mud wrestling and slinging is occurring between States/Governors, the people and the Federal Govt.. I believe it started early on when the States Orders for PPE were cancelled and redirected to Federal stock to be shuffled out as saw fit. Now, with cases low with Ford shipping out huge quantities of ventilators and others shipping face shields, coveralls/gowns and masks wouldn't it be nice if the States were paying for what they ordered rather than to be stored who knows where. Perhaps destine for surplus auctions? Our Administrative legal teams are holding the reins that are hard to hold with all the hand wringing going on. I would love to be able to see what is going on behing closed doors. It's not a scam, it's disorganization.
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