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Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: Remy-Z] #3135784
04/05/23 10:41 PM
04/05/23 10:41 PM
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AndyF Offline
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Originally Posted by Remy-Z
I own a Volt, a 2017. Bought it used with 19,500 on the clock at "I stole it" price, currently just a tick over 50,000. Here's my take on it:

* Summer range: about 60 miles EV only. Winter range: about 48 miles EV only.
* Fuel mileage on "Hold" (engine only): 44 mpg average, with A/C on at typical Interstate speeds
* Issues to date: one set of tires at 45,000 miles, hood and roof painted surfaces are "crazing".
* My 6'3, 290lb backside fits just fine.
* For my everyday use (15 miles to work, 15 miles from work and one extra stop in town), I don't use the engine.
* Longest I've gone without refueling the car is 7 months.

We bought the Volt to replace the prior "economy car" in our fleet, a 2012 Chevrolet Cruze Eco 6-spd. That car was a headache and a money suck. So far, besides the tires, the only things I've paid for with the Volt are the tags, the fuel and the car washes.



You did good. Grabbing a short range EV when they are cheap is a great way to pick up a second or third car for a household. I loved having a short range Leaf available for running short errands or driving kids to school and stuff like that. And as you pointed out, the maintenance costs on these things is close to zero.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: AndyF] #3135814
04/06/23 02:49 AM
04/06/23 02:49 AM
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Originally Posted by AndyF
Originally Posted by MarkZ
Originally Posted by AndyF
I drove a 2014 Leaf for 5 years with no noticeable reduction in battery capability. Dealers were asking more for that car when I sold it than when I bought it. First time I've had a daily driver appreciate in value as I drove it. I traded it in recently for a 2020 Leaf. The 2020 has twice the range and significantly more power as well as a ton of extra features.


How much of a difference in range do you see between the summer and winter months?


Winter driving can be a problem for EVs since the heater, defroster, lights, seat warmers, etc. all draw down the battery. Really hot weather is also a problem since the AC sucks up a bunch of battery power. I live in NW Oregon and EVs work pretty well here since it is rarely below freezing and rarely hotter than 90 degrees.


The battery pack itself also needs to be heated up, by another battery!

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: AndyF] #3135838
04/06/23 07:29 AM
04/06/23 07:29 AM
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klunick Offline
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Originally Posted by AndyF
Originally Posted by Remy-Z
I own a Volt, a 2017. Bought it used with 19,500 on the clock at "I stole it" price, currently just a tick over 50,000. Here's my take on it:

* Summer range: about 60 miles EV only. Winter range: about 48 miles EV only.
* Fuel mileage on "Hold" (engine only): 44 mpg average, with A/C on at typical Interstate speeds
* Issues to date: one set of tires at 45,000 miles, hood and roof painted surfaces are "crazing".
* My 6'3, 290lb backside fits just fine.
* For my everyday use (15 miles to work, 15 miles from work and one extra stop in town), I don't use the engine.
* Longest I've gone without refueling the car is 7 months.

We bought the Volt to replace the prior "economy car" in our fleet, a 2012 Chevrolet Cruze Eco 6-spd. That car was a headache and a money suck. So far, besides the tires, the only things I've paid for with the Volt are the tags, the fuel and the car washes.



You did good. Grabbing a short range EV when they are cheap is a great way to pick up a second or third car for a household. I loved having a short range Leaf available for running short errands or driving kids to school and stuff like that. And as you pointed out, the maintenance costs on these things is close to zero.


Spot on. I've looked at my own usage and yes, we have 10 cars, but an EV would be great for my 15 mile work commute. I have the corolla so that works too. That said, the wife has a 65 mile commute to work/65 back with no charger available. Won't work for her. I did talk to a family friend that was an early adopter buying a model S years ago. They still have it and the wife loves it. They said for the first couple of years it had a 180 range. 5 years in it was down to about 130. Still works for her with a 15 mile commute though but remember the batterys do degrade with age and use.


67 Barracuda FB 69 Superbee "Southern Maryland: If you want a good looking woman, you had better bring her with you"
Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3135846
04/06/23 08:05 AM
04/06/23 08:05 AM
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Thursday Wall Street Journal article says battery electric Ram will have “500 mile range” with Big Battery, 350 miles standard.

Optional “Big Battery pack capacity” advertised as 229 kilowatt-hours.

Picture of EV Ram looks like a conventional pickup truck.

Stellantis stated
“In EV’s it is not a good thing to be 1st on the market.”

Last edited by 360view; 04/06/23 09:29 AM. Reason: battery pack
Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: klunick] #3135889
04/06/23 11:05 AM
04/06/23 11:05 AM
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Originally Posted by klunick
Originally Posted by AndyF
Originally Posted by Remy-Z
I own a Volt, a 2017. Bought it used with 19,500 on the clock at "I stole it" price, currently just a tick over 50,000. Here's my take on it:

* Summer range: about 60 miles EV only. Winter range: about 48 miles EV only.
* Fuel mileage on "Hold" (engine only): 44 mpg average, with A/C on at typical Interstate speeds
* Issues to date: one set of tires at 45,000 miles, hood and roof painted surfaces are "crazing".
* My 6'3, 290lb backside fits just fine.
* For my everyday use (15 miles to work, 15 miles from work and one extra stop in town), I don't use the engine.
* Longest I've gone without refueling the car is 7 months.

We bought the Volt to replace the prior "economy car" in our fleet, a 2012 Chevrolet Cruze Eco 6-spd. That car was a headache and a money suck. So far, besides the tires, the only things I've paid for with the Volt are the tags, the fuel and the car washes.



You did good. Grabbing a short range EV when they are cheap is a great way to pick up a second or third car for a household. I loved having a short range Leaf available for running short errands or driving kids to school and stuff like that. And as you pointed out, the maintenance costs on these things is close to zero.


Spot on. I've looked at my own usage and yes, we have 10 cars, but an EV would be great for my 15 mile work commute. I have the corolla so that works too. That said, the wife has a 65 mile commute to work/65 back with no charger available. Won't work for her. I did talk to a family friend that was an early adopter buying a model S years ago. They still have it and the wife loves it. They said for the first couple of years it had a 180 range. 5 years in it was down to about 130. Still works for her with a 15 mile commute though but remember the batterys do degrade with age and use.


Not doubting that. I'm watching the next 50K to see how bad they go down. But it's nice having that little 1.5L four at the ready...locking the car to gas engine only is great for longer roadtrips. The Volt has gone any and everywhere the Cruze did, like Texas, Cincinnati, Pigeon Forge, or anywhere else I feel like driving. Unless I'm going to be on the road for a week, leaving home with a full battery pack and staying engine-only is all the car will ever need. Frankly, if I could stuff the Volt's entire powertrain into something like a 1982 Cavalier Type-10, I'd be content.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3135903
04/06/23 11:28 AM
04/06/23 11:28 AM
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Originally Posted by 360view
Years ago my Dad and I read the book “The Walmart Way” written by a friend in the Carolina Canoe Club.

There is a chapter in that book were Sam Walton was convinced to first put pharmacies in his stores even though they would lose money for the first 5 to 6 years, if “only” drug sales $ were considered.

The “upshot” to the pharmacies is that extra customers would come through Walmart’s door, and wander the aisles for awhile while waiting for their prescriptions to be ready.

I see electric vehicle charging stations in Walmart parking lots and cannot help but wonder:
is this another
“Get ‘em wandering the aisles while they wait”
ploy to boost sales?



most likely. they didn't build the empire they have by not looking ahead. its ehy they allow campers (where town allow) to stay the night in their parking lot.. all potential customers..


It's better to keep your mouth shut and give the impression that you're stupid than to open it and remove all doubt.

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Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3137312
04/12/23 08:31 AM
04/12/23 08:31 AM
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interesting read

https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/elons-terrible-horrible-no-good-very

sample quote

In 2007, I interviewed Vaclav Smil by email. I asked the Canadian polymath and prolific author a simple question: why are so many people so easily duped when it comes to discussions about energy and power?

He replied: “There has never been such a depth of scientific illiteracy and basic innumeracy as we see today. Without any physical, chemical, and biological fundamentals, and with equally poor understanding of basic economic forces, it is no wonder that people will believe anything.”

I am reusing that quote from Smil (who is one of my favorite writers on energy and power) because it’s germane to a report published on Wednesday by
Tesla Inc. called “Master Plan Part 3: Sustainable Energy for All of Earth.”

The 41-page document is the latest in a shelf-full of studies I’ve endured over the past decade or so that have been produced by academics who work at expensive universities like Stanford, Princeton, and Cal-Berkeley. The studies are packed with elaborate graphics, complicated spreadsheets, and Dallas-size assumptions. And all of them make almost identical claims about how the U.S., or even the entire world, can be powered solely with wind, solar, and batteries, with maybe a lagniappe of nuclear and hydropower on the side.

end quote

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3137410
04/12/23 03:07 PM
04/12/23 03:07 PM
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Your know, sample quotes are a lot like the bits of scripture quoted by some to justify their preconceptions. Without the context it is meaningless.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: Sniper] #3137521
04/12/23 09:52 PM
04/12/23 09:52 PM
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Wife and I were discussing battery life and EV vehicle pricing tonight. She drives 135 miles a day to and from work(roundtrip). We buy a Camry LE for 27k I can and have kept them on the road for over 300k. With her rate of 36k a year we get our money out of these cars and replace them about every 8 years. Now the problem. Today I read average EV car is 60k. Battery price is what 15k. If the battery only lasts 100k that means I have to replace it at least 2X. That is another 30k added to the 60k or 90k total in 8 years vs 27k every 8 years. Yes, the batteries do degrade. My friend that was an early Model S buyer said initially the car would go 180 miles on a charge. Now 8 years later it goes 130 miles. Fine for her as she drives 30 mile round trip and husband installed a 220 charger(yep, he is an engineer). As I have said elsewhere, in 30-40 years the tech could have these batteries down to briefcase size and EVs cost may come down to be competitive. But for many, myself included, just due to cost an EV is a NO. For the wife, it is a HUGE NO.


67 Barracuda FB 69 Superbee "Southern Maryland: If you want a good looking woman, you had better bring her with you"
Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: klunick] #3137659
04/13/23 09:11 AM
04/13/23 09:11 AM
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Originally Posted by klunick
Wife and I were discussing battery life and EV vehicle pricing tonight. She drives 135 miles a day to and from work(roundtrip). We buy a Camry LE for 27k I can and have kept them on the road for over 300k. With her rate of 36k a year we get our money out of these cars and replace them about every 8 years. Now the problem. Today I read average EV car is 60k. Battery price is what 15k. If the battery only lasts 100k that means I have to replace it at least 2X. That is another 30k added to the 60k or 90k total in 8 years vs 27k every 8 years. Yes, the batteries do degrade. My friend that was an early Model S buyer said initially the car would go 180 miles on a charge. Now 8 years later it goes 130 miles. Fine for her as she drives 30 mile round trip and husband installed a 220 charger(yep, he is an engineer). As I have said elsewhere, in 30-40 years the tech could have these batteries down to briefcase size and EVs cost may come down to be competitive. But for many, myself included, just due to cost an EV is a NO. For the wife, it is a HUGE NO.


Lets not base any of this on facts. EV's are driven by emotion (at this stage of development). Definitely not something for most people, but they do suit a very minimum number of people's needs. Just plan on not going anywhere far, towing anything, etc. Think of it as a glorified golf cart that makes you feel good about making sacrifices so that "others" can still live the life they want.


Never, ever argue with an IDIOT. They will drag you to their level and then beat you with their years of experience
Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: oldjonny] #3137676
04/13/23 10:34 AM
04/13/23 10:34 AM
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as it may make people feel good about being a "greenie", they never seem to look at, or understand, [or even care about] the mining process for cobalt or lithium.
then they never want new electric generating power plants to be built "in my back yard", or built at all because the spotted green 8 fingered dink-o-worm might get displaced.
beer

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: SomeCarGuy] #3137725
04/13/23 01:52 PM
04/13/23 01:52 PM
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Originally Posted by SomeCarGuy
Summer and winter is a consideration. Saw numbers but can’t remember so won’t say I know right off.

Tesla says to expect the battery to degrade at least 3% per year no matter how it is treated.



If that is for reals it confirms what I always figured that years hurt them more than miles, kinda like the lithium ion batteries in my dewalt power tools... new they are usable and work all day fast forward 5 or 6 years it will barely do one set of lug nuts before I got to swap batteries to another one that barely will do a set of lug nuts then swap back to the first one thats been charging. The batteries are not technically dead as I can still make do with them (for now) but when it is time to replace the batteries it is cheaper to buy new tools. My 92 dakota with the original drivetrain still goes basically the same exact miles on a tank of fuel as it did new where a new battery powered car would have needed at least 3 $15,000 batteries in that span even if it was only driven the same 140,000 miles.


I am not causing global warming, I am just trying to hold off a impending Ice Age!



Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: klunick] #3137842
04/13/23 10:29 PM
04/13/23 10:29 PM
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Originally Posted by klunick
Wife and I were discussing battery life and EV vehicle pricing tonight. She drives 135 miles a day to and from work(roundtrip). We buy a Camry LE for 27k I can and have kept them on the road for over 300k. With her rate of 36k a year we get our money out of these cars and replace them about every 8 years. Now the problem. Today I read average EV car is 60k. Battery price is what 15k. If the battery only lasts 100k that means I have to replace it at least 2X. That is another 30k added to the 60k or 90k total in 8 years vs 27k every 8 years. Yes, the batteries do degrade. My friend that was an early Model S buyer said initially the car would go 180 miles on a charge. Now 8 years later it goes 130 miles. Fine for her as she drives 30 mile round trip and husband installed a 220 charger(yep, he is an engineer). As I have said elsewhere, in 30-40 years the tech could have these batteries down to briefcase size and EVs cost may come down to be competitive. But for many, myself included, just due to cost an EV is a NO. For the wife, it is a HUGE NO.


Used EVs tend to much less expensive so that is something to look at. I just picked up a used Leaf with only 7000 miles on it that was roughly 50% of new price. If you find a good deal like then your numbers might work out different.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: HotRodDave] #3137887
04/14/23 07:28 AM
04/14/23 07:28 AM
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360view Offline OP
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Originally Posted by HotRodDave
Originally Posted by SomeCarGuy
Summer and winter is a consideration. Saw numbers but can’t remember so won’t say I know right off.

Tesla says to expect the battery to degrade at least 3% per year no matter how it is treated.



If that is for reals it confirms what I always figured that years hurt them more than miles, kinda like the lithium ion batteries in my dewalt power tools... new they are usable and work all day fast forward 5 or 6 years it will barely do one set of lug nuts before I got to swap batteries to another one that barely will do a set of lug nuts then swap back to the first one thats been charging. The batteries are not technically dead as I can still make do with them (for now) but when it is time to replace the batteries it is cheaper to buy new tools. My 92 dakota with the original drivetrain still goes basically the same exact miles on a tank of fuel as it did new where a new battery powered car would have needed at least 3 $15,000 batteries in that span even if it was only driven the same 140,000 miles.


Today’s lithium power tool (and cell phone) batteries degrade mostly only when
they are above roughly 68% of full charge.

EV makers like Tesla understand this present day lithium battery chemistry problem and limit their “full charge voltage” to about 80% to make the battery pack have a useful life that the customer will accept.

I buy Milwaukee and Ryobi power tools because they have Samsung Li batteries inside their battery packs.
If I am actively using them I will charge them up to 100% but I always run them down below the 75% level when I know the battery is going to sit overnight or longer.

I have bought a couple cheap “Chinese Knock off” Milwaukee and Ryobi battery packs that are about 40% of the Milwaukee/Ryobi prices but during testing have found that they are about 75% of their rated amp-hrs, so that if they degrade 125% faster their “bargain price” will not save any money.

I bought a 2016 Google Pixel XL cell phone.
For about a year I just plugged it in when it was below 50% and charged it to 100%.

Then on Reddit’s Google Pixel subgroup I read other user’s warnings to limit charging to 70% or less and use the app AccuBattery Pro to sound an alarm when your battery is at any % charge level you desire. AccuBattery told me my 3450 milliamp-hour had declined to 3000 at that time, but by limiting charging to 68% after six years my battery degradation slowed down a lot and has more or less stayed at 2660 milliamp hours, which gives me up to two days of use.

With EVs, power tools, or cell phones
you can extend Li battery useful life a lot
if you avoid letting the battery spend much time sitting between 68% to 100%

You can still charge to 100% if you know you are going to draw it down quickly.

Of course, Apple, Google, DeWalt, Milwaukee, Ryobi,
love the profits of selling their customers either new devices or new battery packs,
which are priced like computer printer ink cartridges.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3137917
04/14/23 10:15 AM
04/14/23 10:15 AM
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Originally Posted by 360view


I buy Milwaukee and Ryobi power tools because they have Samsung Li batteries inside their battery packs.
If I am actively using them I will charge them up to 100% but I always run them down below the 75% level when I know the battery is going to sit overnight or longer.


I would like to apply your idea. up

I only have 1 Milwaukee tool (I have yet to use) and no Ryobi's.

How do you know that it is at 75%?

Is there a monitor on the charger or do you know from experience on how to judge it?

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: AndyF] #3137929
04/14/23 11:16 AM
04/14/23 11:16 AM
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Originally Posted by AndyF
Originally Posted by klunick
Wife and I were discussing battery life and EV vehicle pricing tonight. She drives 135 miles a day to and from work(roundtrip). We buy a Camry LE for 27k I can and have kept them on the road for over 300k. With her rate of 36k a year we get our money out of these cars and replace them about every 8 years. Now the problem. Today I read average EV car is 60k. Battery price is what 15k. If the battery only lasts 100k that means I have to replace it at least 2X. That is another 30k added to the 60k or 90k total in 8 years vs 27k every 8 years. Yes, the batteries do degrade. My friend that was an early Model S buyer said initially the car would go 180 miles on a charge. Now 8 years later it goes 130 miles. Fine for her as she drives 30 mile round trip and husband installed a 220 charger(yep, he is an engineer). As I have said elsewhere, in 30-40 years the tech could have these batteries down to briefcase size and EVs cost may come down to be competitive. But for many, myself included, just due to cost an EV is a NO. For the wife, it is a HUGE NO.


Used EVs tend to much less expensive so that is something to look at. I just picked up a used Leaf with only 7000 miles on it that was roughly 50% of new price. If you find a good deal like then your numbers might work out different.


If the value of all EVs drop like that Leaf, it's gonna be a damn hard sell for most folks. A 100k Lightning is worth 50k with just 7000 mi on the clock? That's a big hell no!! My 10 yr old F150 with 65K on it is still worth over 50% of what I paid for it new

Last edited by Dcuda69; 04/14/23 11:19 AM.
Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: 360view] #3137993
04/14/23 03:26 PM
04/14/23 03:26 PM
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Kalispell Mt.
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HotRodDave Offline
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Originally Posted by 360view
Originally Posted by HotRodDave
Originally Posted by SomeCarGuy
Summer and winter is a consideration. Saw numbers but can’t remember so won’t say I know right off.

Tesla says to expect the battery to degrade at least 3% per year no matter how it is treated.



If that is for reals it confirms what I always figured that years hurt them more than miles, kinda like the lithium ion batteries in my dewalt power tools... new they are usable and work all day fast forward 5 or 6 years it will barely do one set of lug nuts before I got to swap batteries to another one that barely will do a set of lug nuts then swap back to the first one thats been charging. The batteries are not technically dead as I can still make do with them (for now) but when it is time to replace the batteries it is cheaper to buy new tools. My 92 dakota with the original drivetrain still goes basically the same exact miles on a tank of fuel as it did new where a new battery powered car would have needed at least 3 $15,000 batteries in that span even if it was only driven the same 140,000 miles.


Today’s lithium power tool (and cell phone) batteries degrade mostly only when
they are above roughly 68% of full charge.

EV makers like Tesla understand this present day lithium battery chemistry problem and limit their “full charge voltage” to about 80% to make the battery pack have a useful life that the customer will accept.

I buy Milwaukee and Ryobi power tools because they have Samsung Li batteries inside their battery packs.
If I am actively using them I will charge them up to 100% but I always run them down below the 75% level when I know the battery is going to sit overnight or longer.

I have bought a couple cheap “Chinese Knock off” Milwaukee and Ryobi battery packs that are about 40% of the Milwaukee/Ryobi prices but during testing have found that they are about 75% of their rated amp-hrs, so that if they degrade 125% faster their “bargain price” will not save any money.

I bought a 2016 Google Pixel XL cell phone.
For about a year I just plugged it in when it was below 50% and charged it to 100%.

Then on Reddit’s Google Pixel subgroup I read other user’s warnings to limit charging to 70% or less and use the app AccuBattery Pro to sound an alarm when your battery is at any % charge level you desire. AccuBattery told me my 3450 milliamp-hour had declined to 3000 at that time, but by limiting charging to 68% after six years my battery degradation slowed down a lot and has more or less stayed at 2660 milliamp hours, which gives me up to two days of use.

With EVs, power tools, or cell phones
you can extend Li battery useful life a lot
if you avoid letting the battery spend much time sitting between 68% to 100%

You can still charge to 100% if you know you are going to draw it down quickly.

Of course, Apple, Google, DeWalt, Milwaukee, Ryobi,
love the profits of selling their customers either new devices or new battery packs,
which are priced like computer printer ink cartridges.



I can't even imagine being told I can only fill my gas tank to 68% all the time but I would still have a ton more range than pretty much any BEV.


I am not causing global warming, I am just trying to hold off a impending Ice Age!



Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: IMGTX] #3138049
04/14/23 08:07 PM
04/14/23 08:07 PM
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360view Offline OP
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Originally Posted by IMGTX
Originally Posted by 360view


I buy Milwaukee and Ryobi power tools because they have Samsung Li batteries inside their battery packs.
If I am actively using them I will charge them up to 100% but I always run them down below the 75% level when I know the battery is going to sit overnight or longer.


I would like to apply your idea. up

I only have 1 Milwaukee tool (I have yet to use) and no Ryobi's.

How do you know that it is at 75%?

Is there a monitor on the charger or do you know from experience on how to judge it?




In my humble opinion every lithium battery charger should have a switch on it to set 70% or 100% charge level.

On the Milwaukee M12 tool there are 4 LED for 100%, 75%, 50% and 25% on the tool itself, so you have to slide a battery in a tool to check it.

On the Ryobi tools the 4 LEDs are on the battery itself.

To make it easier for me I use a Kill-A-Watt meter on the charger and watch how many watt-hours goes in.

https://www.harborfreight.com/kill-a-watt-electric-monitor-93519.html

The Kill-A-Watt meter only reads down to 0.01 of a kilowatt-hour, or 10 watt-hours.
If I was to buy another I would get a competing meter that reads to 0.001 kilowatt -hours.

https://www.amazon.com/Suraielec-Ca...aWNrUmVkaXJlY3QmZG9Ob3RMb2dDbGljaz10cnVl

Having a timer to turn the charger off after so many minutes is a good idea - and could prevent a fire.

It was not too many years ago that one of Samsung’s cell phone lithium batteries was causing fires on airplanes.


Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: Dcuda69] #3138074
04/14/23 11:06 PM
04/14/23 11:06 PM
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 31,023
Oregon
A
AndyF Offline
I Win
AndyF  Offline
I Win
A

Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 31,023
Oregon
Originally Posted by Dcuda69
Originally Posted by AndyF
Originally Posted by klunick
Wife and I were discussing battery life and EV vehicle pricing tonight. She drives 135 miles a day to and from work(roundtrip). We buy a Camry LE for 27k I can and have kept them on the road for over 300k. With her rate of 36k a year we get our money out of these cars and replace them about every 8 years. Now the problem. Today I read average EV car is 60k. Battery price is what 15k. If the battery only lasts 100k that means I have to replace it at least 2X. That is another 30k added to the 60k or 90k total in 8 years vs 27k every 8 years. Yes, the batteries do degrade. My friend that was an early Model S buyer said initially the car would go 180 miles on a charge. Now 8 years later it goes 130 miles. Fine for her as she drives 30 mile round trip and husband installed a 220 charger(yep, he is an engineer). As I have said elsewhere, in 30-40 years the tech could have these batteries down to briefcase size and EVs cost may come down to be competitive. But for many, myself included, just due to cost an EV is a NO. For the wife, it is a HUGE NO.


Used EVs tend to much less expensive so that is something to look at. I just picked up a used Leaf with only 7000 miles on it that was roughly 50% of new price. If you find a good deal like then your numbers might work out different.


If the value of all EVs drop like that Leaf, it's gonna be a damn hard sell for most folks. A 100k Lightning is worth 50k with just 7000 mi on the clock? That's a big hell no!! My 10 yr old F150 with 65K on it is still worth over 50% of what I paid for it new


EVs depreciate heavily right now because each new generation is so much better than the last. Gas vehicles don't improve so much from year to year so they don't depreciate so much.
I would not buy a new EV for at least the next 5 years. Let other people take the big hit. Anyone who is interested in an EV for a second or third car should look at 2 year lease returns, especially cars that are low miles and certified. When I'm in the market I just watch the mfg website for local certified used cars and I screen for ones with super low miles. My last couple of EVs have been barely used but I bought them at huge discounts over a new car.

Re: Survey of EV “realworld” battery lifetimes [Re: Sniper] #3138083
04/15/23 01:53 AM
04/15/23 01:53 AM
Joined: Sep 2017
Posts: 342
Red Deer, Alberta
G
Greenwood Offline
enthusiast
Greenwood  Offline
enthusiast
G

Joined: Sep 2017
Posts: 342
Red Deer, Alberta
Originally Posted by Sniper
Your know, sample quotes are a lot like the bits of scripture quoted by some to justify their preconceptions. Without the context it is meaningless.


I'll give you some perspective, then. If you wanted to power the part of Colorado that sits east of the Rockies, with wind power and battery back-up, here's what you'd have to do: Plant a giant fan farm from the front range to the Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, and Nebraska state lines. 4 fans per square mile. The battery site would have to be roughly 200 square miles. Does it sound feasible?

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