Man that is a bad hit for sure. I can repair that valance and probably not goof up the paint. You have to remember that once the metal is bent, it is also stretched but I have just the thing for that. I have saved some pretty decent sized dents on show painted fenders and such without busting the paint. Sometimes the paint is too brittle and when you try to move the metal back it will crack. Not always but it is a possibility. I would say there is a good chance that it will come out and maybe just a re-buff? Good Luck! JC.