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Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: Runner2go] #2760549
04/05/20 09:44 PM
04/05/20 09:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Runner2go
And this is why there the 2nd Amendment, is the SECOND thing the founders put on the list. whistling

And as everyone worries about Corona... Flu steams ahead into new hospitalization territory & no one cares.
From the CDC's latest report for week ending 3/21... it has stepped up from "nearly" to "most" in 2 categories. (babies & adults)
Quote
Laboratory confirmed influenza-associated hospitalization rates for the U.S. population overall are higher than most recent seasons, and rates for children 0-4 years and adults 18-49 years are the highest CDC has on record for these age groups, surpassing rates reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic.
The current 162 dead babies from flu in '20, are the 2nd highest since records started in 2002...
Surpassed only by the final season total from '09-10

Remember H1N1 was predicted to kill well over 100,000 during the '09 pandemic... (infected 60mil+) . The final dead count was just over 12k... nowhere close. The H1N1/09 strain has already killed more than that in 2020.

Everyone get there hands on a mask yet? . Any predictions on how many weeks it takes of everyone being masked for the camera's, before it turns into the wild wild west out there?

Supermarkets around here are starting to see some folks with "gloves, shades, hoodie & bandana mask"
It's like a bank robbers wet dream at the super market... laugh2 whistling


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Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: Runner2go] #2760551
04/05/20 09:47 PM
04/05/20 09:47 PM
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Originally Posted by Runner2go
Originally Posted by Pacnorthcuda
Washington States projection model is showing April 19th to be the peak for this area. Seems to me that can only be true for Seattle proper as that was the start, and is densely populated (relatively). Much of the rest of the state is VERY different and I would think it’s curve would differ quite a bit, time wise.


When this is all over with, and they either have a cure & vaccine...
Or just decide to ignore everyone dying going forward, like they have with H1N1 after '09...
There will need to be a study done comparing the US per/cap death rate, with Sweden, Brazil & Belarus.
Apparently those countries have decided they will NOT go into lock down, and will let nature take it's course.
They are detaining people coming into their countries... but not shutting down businesses & schools.

If the death rates in those countries don't end up being 10-20x per capita higher than the final US numbers... :
(Remember the US predictions of 100k-200k if we shut down & 2.2Million Dead if we left everything open)
Then the question will have to be asked...
Was it really worth destroying the US economy over Covid-19? work shruggy
That is not a question that can currently be answered... so don't even try. whistling
We won't know the answer until the final analysis, 2 or 3 yrs down the road.

But remember SERS & Swine Flu ultimately never came close to the dire predictions.
Even though swine flu (H1N1) infected 60million... it never killed anywhere near what was predicted in 2009
In fact H1N1 has killed more people this year, than it did in 2009... but no one cares anymore. frown
Because there's a new kid on the block...
One that's finally managed to shut down the country and put the printing presses in overdrive.
A few years from now we will know whether or not it was worth the cost.


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Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: partsforsale] #2760593
04/05/20 11:14 PM
04/05/20 11:14 PM
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Romeo MI
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This virus reminds me when I was in NAM,,, being attacked and damn near being over run by the enemy...
luckly I made it but many guys didnt make it out that week... this doesnt seen any different
wave

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760714
04/06/20 12:06 PM
04/06/20 12:06 PM
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USA
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Is the USA doing the right things?

Four months from now we will be able to compare Sweden to Norway and Denmark
and see whether “flattening the curve” makes much difference

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-04-coronavirus-nordics-strategies.html

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760715
04/06/20 12:09 PM
04/06/20 12:09 PM
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https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-04-vaccine-elicits-strong-response-sars-cov-.html

I say make it available to any elderly person that wants to volunteer

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760719
04/06/20 12:19 PM
04/06/20 12:19 PM
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https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-04/ijl-spc040620.php

Sample quote

He also proposed a strategy for repurposing known geroprotectors such as
rapamycin, nicotinamide riboside, nicotinamide mononucleotide, metformin, and other drugs
with the known safety profile for prevention of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
The scientist analyzed the prior clinical studies of everolimus (RAD001) in healthy elderly, and previous evidence showing paradoxical immunopotentiation effects of rapamycin and proposed additional clinical trials for these molecules in the healthy elderly population.
End quote

rapamycin Is a fascinating drug.

Easter Island is one of the most isolated places on Earth.
The natives there call their island “Rapa”.
rapamycin was an antibiotic found in fungus there.
It has since been found to have uses far beyond fighting bacteria.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760829
04/06/20 05:09 PM
04/06/20 05:09 PM
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Puttin' on the foil in Charles...
not_a_charger Offline OP
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Puttin' on the foil in Charles...
https://www.cleveland.com/coronavir..._medium=social&utm_campaign=cleve_sf

I can't wait for all of the stupids in America to read this and react with, "See, it was an overreaction, it wasn't bad."


Earning every penny of that moderator paycheck.

DBAP
Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: not_a_charger] #2760844
04/06/20 05:46 PM
04/06/20 05:46 PM
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Jefferson State
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This site, previously posted allows one to track data on the national and by clicking on drop box "United States of America" to change to the state of interest. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
I checked California today because of a news article that CA just sent 500 respirators to other states in need. Sure enough they have flattened the curve. Did early social distancing posted by the state encourage enough people to run and hide help?
I knoiw I've been limiting venturing out (retired) and when I have, did notice the absence on many people on roads/stores/anyplace.
Nor cal has been spared large amounts of infected people and most seem to be located in the metro areas.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760850
04/06/20 06:01 PM
04/06/20 06:01 PM
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UNC-CH new drug looks promising

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-04-antiviral-drug-clinical-trials-covid-.html

Sample quote

We are amazed at the ability of EIDD-1931 and -2801 to inhibit all tested coronaviruses and the potential for oral treatment of COVID-19. This work shows the importance of ongoing National Institutes of Health (NIH) support for collaborative research to develop antivirals for all pandemic viruses, not just coronaviruses" said Andrea Pruijssers, the lead antiviral scientist in the Denison Lab at VUMC.

Denison was senior author of a December 2019 study that first reported that EIDD-1931 blocked the replication of a broad spectrum of coronaviruses.

End quote

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: 360view] #2760866
04/06/20 07:08 PM
04/06/20 07:08 PM
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I typed this up in response to a comment about what if the world still only had the ability to text message... no smart phones.

When I went & googled up some SARS research...
I was a little surprised at where it led.. dates & locations right off the SARS wiki page.
No one really knows how many people Chinese just up & disappeared in 03...
----
It is interesting that no new SARS(also Corona) outbreaks occurred after 2004... That is, UNTIL after Chinese "Scientists" finally found the origin bat cave, in remote Yunnan China, in Dec 2017... The bats were then "studied" by scientists from the "Wuhan Institute of Virology" 1000miles away... just 2 short years later... Voila.. an upgraded version of Corona on steroids breaks out in Wuhan, and is blamed on the same horeshoe bats, still living 1000miles away in Yunnan, 😳

Hmmm... work The timing does make you wonder... 13yrs of nothing... Then the carrier bats are found in 2017 & then "studied 1000+ miles away", & only 2yrs later(Dec '19), an outbreak occurred at the "location of study" Wuhan, & NOT at the location where the bats actually live. 🤔
The world will likely never know what they did inside those boarders... either time. 😔

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: not_a_charger] #2760889
04/06/20 08:36 PM
04/06/20 08:36 PM
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Originally Posted by not_a_charger
https://www.cleveland.com/coronavir..._medium=social&utm_campaign=cleve_sf

I can't wait for all of the stupids in America to read this and react with, "See, it was an overreaction, it wasn't bad."

There's a couple here now.


"Follow me the wise man said, but he walked behind"


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Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: not_a_charger] #2760915
04/06/20 09:44 PM
04/06/20 09:44 PM
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Originally Posted by not_a_charger
https://www.cleveland.com/coronavir..._medium=social&utm_campaign=cleve_sf

I can't wait for all of the stupids in America to read this and react with, "See, it was an overreaction, it wasn't bad."


It isn't the "stupids" as you refer to, it is also rational thinking people that don't take matters at face value. Look at who benefits when more people are reliant on government.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: Jjs72D] #2760932
04/06/20 10:39 PM
04/06/20 10:39 PM
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Isn't it the government that made the projections and the stoop-ids (intentional) that complied with shelter orders that shaved the top off the curve. Other unfortunates (stoop-ids and naughts) lie in beds, while more and more are interred (albeit some temporarily) as yet others show up at er doors and intake tents gasping for breath. This is not done and there is some indication lung damage is principal cause of demise and heart failure is also suspect, then there is other reports of re-infection. This is a bug to be reckoned with.
I'm pretty sure our small group would all like to get through this along with their loved ones. Lets all be safe and thankful there is info out there to help guide us through the dark days ahead.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: srt] #2760945
04/06/20 11:30 PM
04/06/20 11:30 PM
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https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/04/06/hydroxychloroquine-update-for-april-6

CN: still no good evidence that hydroxychoroquine works or helps. The plural of anecdotes is not data.


If you ever find yourself in a fair fight, your tactics suck.
Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: hooziewhatsit] #2760974
04/07/20 01:30 AM
04/07/20 01:30 AM
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What keeps nagging me is all the virus research (hepatitis, HIV, Sars) until recently, or maybe still, fail to eradicate the infection from the host. I recall living in fear every time I underwent chemo, as my blood counts went to zero taking away immunity I took anti virals and anti bacterial agents. iirc there are these T cells that do battle and after I was done with my stem cell transplant there was a blood component called CD4 that had to get up to some value affording me the ability to walk down the street and not run away from babys and be super anal about cleanliness (really been helping me recently). In fact guys, whens the last time you wiped down the buckle end and tail end of your belts with alcohol or washed your hands after ordering a meal at a restaurant (remember that?). After awhile I had to have all my baby shots again and even a few new ones for shingles etc.
Seems our bodies do not make certain antibodies, unless we get the illness and we live through the infection, OR a vaccine is cooked up to give us immunity. Best results are to have vaccines before illness sets in. Vaccines are not medicine.
This virus is no different than any other viral disease. All the medicine in the world will not stop the virus, it will only help the host become more comfortable as the virus ravages their body. I liken this to adding octane boosters to fuel when all the patient needs is lead.
Much research is currently being done on Broad Spectrum Antiviral Agents that are safe to use on humans.
It's going to take time and this virus will keep popping it's ugly head up until a vaccine arrives.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: hooziewhatsit] #2760975
04/07/20 01:33 AM
04/07/20 01:33 AM
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Originally Posted by hooziewhatsit
https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/04/06/hydroxychloroquine-update-for-april-6

CN: still no good evidence that hydroxychoroquine works or helps. The plural of anecdotes is not data.

And there is absolutely no evidence it hurts either... thus right to try still applies.

I don't think I've ever witnessed so many people actually hoping for a medicine to fail. shruggy
Newscasters, politicians, and a portion of the general public... all actively wanting it to fail. frown
It's unbelievable... realcrazy

I for one hope when given in combo with a Z-pac, it works as described.
If, it doesn't... then try something else.

I hope they find something that works(anything) and I don't care who suggests it.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: Runner2go] #2760976
04/07/20 02:13 AM
04/07/20 02:13 AM
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Originally Posted by Runner2go

And there is absolutely no evidence it hurts either...


Did you read any or all of that article? Pretty much all of it was saying that there is no true evidence that it helps (yet), and definite evidence that it hurts some people with certain issues, which also makes up most of the people in the ICUs.

Quote
Performing a Bayesian A/B test, we found that for the original data, there was strong statistical evidence for the positive effect of HCQ mono improving the chances of viral reduction when compared to the comparison group. However, we found that the level of evidence drops down to moderate evidence when including the deteriorated patients, and it drops further to anecdotal evidence when excluding the patients that were not tested on the day of the primary outcome (day 6). For context, anecdotal evidence is generally considered ‘barely worth mentioning’


That's basically saying that it helped people that weren't too far gone. Would they have survived without the HCQ treatment? Maybe, maybe not. That's why we study things. We don't want to give people heart arrhythmias for no reason.

And we're not hoping that it's going to fail. We want to make sure it actually works, and doesn't cause (more) harm at the same time.


If you ever find yourself in a fair fight, your tactics suck.
Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: hooziewhatsit] #2760980
04/07/20 03:32 AM
04/07/20 03:32 AM
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And, God forbid stop looking for something that really works.

Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: Jjs72D] #2760987
04/07/20 06:25 AM
04/07/20 06:25 AM
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 19,854
Puttin' on the foil in Charles...
not_a_charger Offline OP
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Originally Posted by Jjs72D
Originally Posted by not_a_charger
https://www.cleveland.com/coronavir..._medium=social&utm_campaign=cleve_sf

I can't wait for all of the stupids in America to read this and react with, "See, it was an overreaction, it wasn't bad."


It isn't the "stupids" as you refer to, it is also rational thinking people that don't take matters at face value. Look at who benefits when more people are reliant on government.


No, it's the stupids.

Reliant on government? Better not cash that $1,200 check, or collect unemployment while you work side jobs.


Earning every penny of that moderator paycheck.

DBAP
Re: The official Coronavirus thread [Re: not_a_charger] #2761026
04/07/20 09:49 AM
04/07/20 09:49 AM
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when you think about it Americans are pretty grubby individuals. One girl I know works at Sams Club. After being there for several years she went to school so she could Be an Audiologist at Sams. Last week she watched a guy lick his fingers three times getting money
out of his wallet to pay. Another girl I know works as a Secretary at a body shop. From where here desk is she can hear whether people use the sink to wash their hands after doing their business. She was shocked to the amount of guys that don’t. Now the idiots are wearing rubber gloves and just throwing them on the ground after removal. Almost as bad as cigarette smokers.


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